First-round forecast: 12 DHs, 2 pitchers and Marcus Semien

Once upon a time in this league, when a good-fielding, offensive-mashing middle infielder who had a full season under his belt was available in the draft, the entire league would be salivating over the possibility of scooping him up as their first-round pick.

They had names like Morgan and Biggio and Trammell and Larkin.

Now, they’re lucky to get mentioned in the top five overall picks. Are we undervaluing Marcus Semien?

Marcus Semien

Semien

The ratings guide is out, and our worst fears were confirmed. The vast majority of projected first-round talent is not going to do you any favors in the field, either with their range rating, their ‘e’ factor, or both. (Perhaps a slight exaggeration on the DH assessment…)

But then there’s Marcus Semien, who hit .285, with 33 homers, 43 doubles and 7 triples! That’s 83 extra-base hits, two shy of homer-happy Pete Alonso for most XBH’s available in the draft in the upcoming card set.

And he’s a 2e12 at shortstop. With 657 real-life at-bats, or 690 allowable in our league. A nice 16 walk chances on each side of his card. Better on-base numbers vs. lefties; better power against righties. A star stealer to boot.

He’s only 29 years old, and was third in AL MVP voting, had an 8.1 WAR rating.

Those Morgan and Larkin days were back when the league did total redrafts each year. So it’s understandable if a 21-year-old Fernando Tatis Jr. or Vladimir Guerrero Jr., each having eight years of potential playing time on Semien, are valued higher.

Unless you’re in win-now mode.