How would you rank these recent rookies?

It’s been a big month for debuts of rookies not named Strasburg who also might be hot commodities come draft time in March. Have you got your eye on any of these guys?

* Carlos Santana, C, Indians. Debuted Friday night against Washington, going 0-for-3 with a walk. Switch-hitter, 24, was hitting .316 at Triple-A with a .444 OBP and .597 slugging average.  Baseball Prospectus said of Santana:

…His “bat might play in the bigs right now, given both his great power and his refined plate judgment. However, the converted third baseman still has some work to do behind the plate.”

* Mike Stanton, OF, Marlins. Debuted Tuesday against the Phillies, going 3-for-5 with two runs scored. Made leap from Double-A Jacksonville after hitting .311 with 21 homers in 190 at-bats, getting on -base at a .441 clip and slugging .726. Just 20 years old, BP says of the right-handed-hitting slugger:

“You’re going to hear a lot about Stanton’s strikeouts, which is an amazingly short-sighted thing to focus on with a teenager who has shown this kind of power.”

* Buster Posey, C-1B, Giants. Posey went 0-for-3 in his May 31 debut, but has a hit in 10 consecutive games since then. Bats right, throws right, age 23.  Has started mostly at first base as the Giants are searching for offense. At Triple-A Fresno was hitting .349 with a .995 OPS. BP says:

“Should he come up in time, he’s an instant short-list candidate for Rookie of the Year en route to what should be a fine career.”

So, stipulating that Strasburg and Heyward are more attractive draft picks, and ignoring for the moment some other rookies (Leake, Storen, Castro, Jackson, etc.), how would you rank order Santana, Stanton and Posey for next  year’s draft?


5 Responses

  1. Posey, Santana and then Stanton.

  2. Did any of you see Adam Dunn run over Santana yesterday? Santana got blind sided and the only reason there was a collision was that Santana incorrectly thought that there was going to be a play at the plate and he stepped into Dunn’s path. It is apparent that he does need more schooling on catching…

  3. my guess is posey will have the best card and most defensive value (giants have a low team era and strat generally rewards that). santana looked good behind the plate last night, but we’ll see.

  4. They are equal at this point. Their final numbers will drive the train with the two catchers being given extra points due to the position they play.

    Strasburg, Heyward, Jaime Garcia will certainly go in the first around. So, too, will Brett Gardner, Brennan Boesch, Mike Pelfrey, and Tyler Clippard.

    • I agree — and because of the Gophers’ glaring weakness at catcher, you can bet I will be watching Mr. Santana and Mr. Posey closely.

      Interesting comment about the two cathers being equal at this point. Flash back to the 2008 draft: There was a similar debate involving the top two rookie pitching prospects Tim Lincecum and Yovani Gallardo. There cards were basically even and the projected values were similar. Lincecum got the nod on most draft boards because he threw more innings in 2007 (146 v. 110).

      I think Rangers righty starter Colby Lewis will be another first-rounder come March.

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